Lending Person-to-Person Helps You Beat the S&P

Anyone would be weary to lend $50 to a stranger on the street, so why should you do it over the web? That’s because the numbers at Prosper.com, the first person-to-person lending marketplace in the US, have proven to be quite lucrative.
The website came to my attention after it was mentioned by commenter Drew Smith after I wrote an article on microfinance last month. The concept is sweet and simple. People seek loan amounts between $1,000 to $25,000. They then have a period of open bidding (like on eBay) where several lenders, like you, can bid in increments until their total loan need is met. Even if you have as little as $5,000 to invest, you can spread $50 increments between one hundred people with different risk levels to protect yourself from default, or not being paid back.
Borrowers post a story explaining what the money will be going towards, along with their credit score and debt to income ratio. Stories vary from paying off a house to preparing a large Thanksgiving meal for the family. Different levels of borrower risk dictate the APR, which is chosen by you as a lender.
An independent statistic website, LendingStats, gives you the skinny on how much to expect back. At the moment the true default rate is at 2.8%. That is very low, but you also have to take delinquencies, cancellations and repurchased loans into the equation, which would settle more along the lines of 12% in the red. Remember, if you spread out your money across the board one true default isn’t going to hurt you too much. Even though that $50 bill is gone, the other 99 $50 bills you sent out are coming back with interest rates as high as a consistent 20.6%.
So now that you’ve waited three years to cash in on your investment, how much are you going to make? Lets say the $5,000 initial investment was lent at 20.6% to C-credit borrowers over 36 months. The payment for them would be $187.35 x 36 = $6,744.60. Now take out your original investment, $6744.60 – $5,000 = You are walking away with $1,744.60.
Compare that to investing that money for 3 years at the average of the S&P 500 with a net profit of $978.52. One might even argue that as a long term strategy, lending money based on credit worthiness comes with less risk and more consistent returns than the stock market. Most money managers would have to agree. They have trouble even matching the S&P.
This innovative take on banking is new, as Prosper has only been operating for two years now. Bold initiatives like this humanize finance and allow us to find a way around dealing with banks for unsubsidized loans. I think it’s brilliant and will be keeping an eye on Prosper as well as other Web 2.0 startups that intend to change the face of B&M finance.


As an example, if GM is forced to close a plant in the US due to costs and move that plant to Mexico do we really suffer? The US loses thousands of jobs and domestic capacities due to layoffs like these, yet should we worry? The answer is no, we are clearly not leaders in manufacturing and haven’t been 
“A US-based [Accelerator] would attract thousands of talented scientists and students from around the world. As has happened in the past, when highly talented and motivated scientists from around the world come to the US to work, many will choose to remain and continue contributing to the nation’s technological leadership, which in turn will stimulate domestic economic growth through scientific and technological innovation. Moreover, some of the world’s best scientists undoubtedly will join the nation’s universities to be close to the project, thus enriching the scientific vitality of these institutions. US academic research institutions are recognized for their direct and easy access to the world’s premier research facilities and infrastructure; hosting the [Accelerator] would extend this pattern of success into the 21st century. In short, constructing and operating a world-class facility will create an unparalleled intellectual environment to stimulate innovation and creativity.”







